Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.038993 0.042087 0.045335 0.049003 0.053037 0.057344 0.062300
2025-05-18 0.033894 0.038245 0.043063 0.048817 0.055529 0.063144 0.072486
2025-05-25 0.030512 0.035583 0.041430 0.048715 0.057611 0.068200 0.081876
2025-06-01 0.027693 0.033143 0.039629 0.047992 0.058589 0.071711 0.089408
2025-06-08 0.025356 0.031004 0.037906 0.047063 0.059039 0.074382 0.095870
2025-06-15 0.023618 0.029428 0.036697 0.046588 0.059900 0.077489 0.102997
2025-06-22 0.022158 0.028075 0.035634 0.046160 0.060696 0.080456 0.110053
2025-06-29 0.020714 0.026632 0.034332 0.045273 0.060735 0.082298 0.115555
2025-07-06 0.019949 0.026030 0.034090 0.045782 0.062700 0.086926 0.125454
2025-07-13 0.019086 0.025234 0.033519 0.045765 0.063868 0.090427 0.133883
2025-07-20 0.018491 0.024765 0.033360 0.046299 0.065844 0.095224 0.144702
2025-07-27 0.017717 0.023999 0.032729 0.046089 0.066659 0.098264 0.152899
2025-08-03 0.017004 0.023291 0.032152 0.045936 0.067564 0.101533 0.161830
2025-08-10 0.016314 0.022582 0.031535 0.045676 0.068273 0.104521 0.170536
2025-08-17 0.015718 0.021979 0.031037 0.045562 0.069189 0.107884 0.180182
2025-08-24 0.015019 0.021189 0.030218 0.044890 0.069137 0.109595 0.186951
2025-08-31 0.014322 0.020371 0.029317 0.044032 0.068710 0.110611 0.192480
2025-09-07 0.013777 0.019759 0.028701 0.043594 0.068952 0.112788 0.200396
2025-09-14 0.013277 0.019195 0.028132 0.043199 0.069231 0.115032 0.208627
2025-09-21 0.012711 0.018505 0.027335 0.042380 0.068715 0.115779 0.213890
2025-09-28 0.012469 0.018309 0.027310 0.042850 0.070496 0.120879 0.228589
2025-10-05 0.012134 0.017954 0.027011 0.042834 0.071393 0.124367 0.240226
2025-10-12 0.011924 0.017788 0.027010 0.043327 0.073244 0.129810 0.256666